Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.179864 4.488037 4.818503 5.201082 5.634151 6.111985 6.683025
2025-07-20 3.753541 4.190708 4.690450 5.311599 6.074030 6.994783 8.216004
2025-07-27 3.497386 4.010123 4.622962 5.425135 6.472697 7.833740 9.809616
2025-08-03 3.266200 3.818068 4.499675 5.427665 6.700280 8.456665 11.216476
2025-08-10 3.040590 3.605086 4.319489 5.321686 6.749761 8.819900 12.300373
2025-08-17 2.839852 3.404548 4.133050 5.179875 6.719251 9.045458 13.197463
2025-08-24 2.692249 3.260747 4.007370 5.104891 6.768619 9.388632 14.363242
2025-08-31 2.606202 3.191147 3.974269 5.154398 7.005121 10.061225 16.312016
2025-09-07 2.518678 3.112881 3.921672 5.167282 7.180904 10.654614 18.289847
2025-09-14 2.383764 2.961809 3.756089 4.994841 7.033439 10.643957 18.945306
2025-09-21 2.280755 2.849860 3.639804 4.888620 6.984197 10.805703 20.057885
2025-09-28 2.199885 2.764860 3.557332 4.828046 7.004832 11.101851 21.612198
2025-10-05 2.130710 2.695559 3.497315 4.803970 7.096641 11.576833 23.925514
2025-10-12 2.095733 2.673674 3.506640 4.893205 7.404757 12.570929 28.369417
2025-10-19 2.065521 2.656741 3.521683 4.992060 7.742758 13.713559 34.243390
2025-10-26 2.014425 2.606477 3.482171 4.994210 7.892617 14.453309 39.334818
2025-11-02 1.945142 2.526285 3.391819 4.901255 7.840624 14.681031 42.462671
2025-11-09 1.873203 2.439535 3.287309 4.776664 7.711151 14.684868 44.577739
2025-11-16 1.818512 2.376828 3.218195 4.710683 7.697644 15.000292 48.781184
2025-11-23 1.790550 2.353400 3.210489 4.754254 7.921874 16.034018 58.920267
2025-11-30 1.757491 2.320848 3.186303 4.765587 8.076909 16.915271 70.121472
2025-12-07 1.693341 2.238524 3.077742 4.613720 7.850345 16.573577 70.802444
2025-12-14 1.643811 2.177471 3.002095 4.519985 7.749275 16.617964 75.413688